亚博体育官网首页

CEA Nageswaran: Q2 GDP Numbers are Disappointing but Not Alarming
ECONOMY & POLICY

CEA Nageswaran: Q2 GDP Numbers are Disappointing but Not Alarming

India鈥檚 second-quarter GDP growth rate of 5.4% was described as disappointing but not alarming, with Chief Economic Advisor (CEA) V Anantha Nageswaran pointing out several bright spots in the economy. Speaking on Friday, he characterised the latest GDP figures as a one-off occurrence rather than the beginning of a trend, noting the challenging global environment affecting domestic manufacturing.

Nageswaran remarked that economic growth is expected to pick up in the second half of the financial year, though he cautioned that the global context differs from the synchronised global growth seen in the early 2000s. He highlighted fragile geopolitical conditions as ongoing challenges impacting domestic inflation, supply chains, and capital flows. Despite these headwinds, record kharif foodgrain production and promising rabi crop prospects were said to bode well for rural demand and farm incomes. The CEA emphasised the economy鈥檚 resilience, driven by robust demand and strong activity in the manufacturing and service sectors.

India鈥檚 GDP growth was reported to have slowed to a two-year low of 5.4% in the July-September quarter, primarily due to weak performance in the manufacturing and mining sectors. Nageswaran urged the need to address obstacles to capital formation, asserting that there is room for increased capital expenditure in the remaining months of the financial year.

In his presentation on the GDP data, he outlined medium to long-term risk factors, including state governments鈥� limited capacity for capital expenditure, capital-intensive growth in the private corporate sector, and regulatory challenges. Data from the Controller General of Accounts revealed that government capex for the April-October period contracted by 14.7% year-on-year (Y-o-Y).

Nageswaran identified stronger growth in labour incomes as key to driving sustained demand and private sector capital formation. He suggested that deregulation at state and local levels, coupled with effective hiring and compensation policies, is crucial to achieving employment and manufacturing goals. 鈥淚f we do that, then sooner rather than later, the second-quarter growth numbers will become a distant and fading memory,鈥� he added.

The CEA also noted uncertainties in the export sector, citing potential policy developments, monetary policy risks in advanced economies, and the volatile global trade environment. He flagged concerns over the strength of the dollar and the impact of cheaper imports on domestic industries.

However, Nageswaran expressed optimism about the economic benefits of low global crude oil prices, which support economic activity and price stability.

India鈥檚 second-quarter GDP growth rate of 5.4% was described as disappointing but not alarming, with Chief Economic Advisor (CEA) V Anantha Nageswaran pointing out several bright spots in the economy. Speaking on Friday, he characterised the latest GDP figures as a one-off occurrence rather than the beginning of a trend, noting the challenging global environment affecting domestic manufacturing. Nageswaran remarked that economic growth is expected to pick up in the second half of the financial year, though he cautioned that the global context differs from the synchronised global growth seen in the early 2000s. He highlighted fragile geopolitical conditions as ongoing challenges impacting domestic inflation, supply chains, and capital flows. Despite these headwinds, record kharif foodgrain production and promising rabi crop prospects were said to bode well for rural demand and farm incomes. The CEA emphasised the economy鈥檚 resilience, driven by robust demand and strong activity in the manufacturing and service sectors. India鈥檚 GDP growth was reported to have slowed to a two-year low of 5.4% in the July-September quarter, primarily due to weak performance in the manufacturing and mining sectors. Nageswaran urged the need to address obstacles to capital formation, asserting that there is room for increased capital expenditure in the remaining months of the financial year. In his presentation on the GDP data, he outlined medium to long-term risk factors, including state governments鈥� limited capacity for capital expenditure, capital-intensive growth in the private corporate sector, and regulatory challenges. Data from the Controller General of Accounts revealed that government capex for the April-October period contracted by 14.7% year-on-year (Y-o-Y). Nageswaran identified stronger growth in labour incomes as key to driving sustained demand and private sector capital formation. He suggested that deregulation at state and local levels, coupled with effective hiring and compensation policies, is crucial to achieving employment and manufacturing goals. 鈥淚f we do that, then sooner rather than later, the second-quarter growth numbers will become a distant and fading memory,鈥� he added. The CEA also noted uncertainties in the export sector, citing potential policy developments, monetary policy risks in advanced economies, and the volatile global trade environment. He flagged concerns over the strength of the dollar and the impact of cheaper imports on domestic industries. However, Nageswaran expressed optimism about the economic benefits of low global crude oil prices, which support economic activity and price stability.

Next Story
Real Estate

KVN, Puravankara to Develop Rs 33 Billion Housing Project in Bengaluru

KVN Property Holdings Limited Liability Partnership has partnered with Puravankara Limited to jointly develop a large-scale residential project in North Bengaluru with a projected gross development value of over Rs 33 billion.The project will be developed on a 24.59-acre land parcel and is expected to offer a saleable area of around 3.48 million square feet. It is slated for launch within the next six months.KVN Property was founded by Venkat K Narayana, former Chief Executive Officer of Prestige Group. The joint venture aims to leverage KVN鈥檚 strength in land aggregation and Puravankara鈥檚..

Next Story
Technology

Cabinet Approves Rs 3.7 Billion Semiconductor Plant in Jewar

The Union Cabinet has approved a semiconductor manufacturing facility worth Rs 3.706 billion in Jewar, Uttar Pradesh. The project is a joint venture between HCL and Foxconn, aimed at producing display driver chips for mobile phones, laptops, and vehicles.The upcoming unit will process twenty thousand wafers each month and produce around 36 million chips. It will be the sixth semiconductor facility approved in India, and will manufacture advanced chips essential for electronics and automotive sectors.The new plant is expected to begin operations by 2027 and generate direct employment for about ..

Next Story
Resources

Blum India brings Design Reverie to Hyderabad

Blum India hosted the Hyderabad edition of its signature event, Design Reverie, at the historic Taj Falaknuma Palace, making it a memorable evening for the city鈥檚 architecture and interior design community. As per news reports, the event combined modern design sensibilities with the grandeur of a palace setting and the spiritual charm of Sufi qawwali.This marked the third edition of the event, after previous gatherings in Delhi and Bangalore. In Hyderabad, the focus was on fostering relaxed yet meaningful dialogue among design professionals鈥攁way from the typical conference setup. The eveni..

Advertisement

Advertisement

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

Get daily newsletters around different themes from Construction world.

STAY CONNECTED

Advertisement

Advertisement

Advertisement

Advertisement